Friday, May 27, 2011

The Evolution and Persistence of Inflation in China and Its Consequences: Why the China Domino Has Fallen

From Societe Generale’s report:

Quite simply, the domino theory of 2011 is that when China comes under the influence of inflation, the surrounding countries, those with the most immediate trade ties, would also fall to inflation. It will only be a matter of time till those economies with the greatest trade ties; indeed the entire world has succumbed to the great inflation cascade emanating from China.

The first domino is China creating autonomous structural inflation: China’s domestic inflation accelerated at an unprecedented pace at the end of 2010 and policy makers remain well behind the curve. As China engineers its economy to a more domestically focused one, its demand curve is shifting outwards and the global supply curve has been inelastic in response. That domino has already fallen and is the focus of this paper.

http://www.scribd.com/doc/56479179/China-Domino

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